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What will happen to the scrum?

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Camquin View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Camquin Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Jul 2020 at 11:43
They could but if there are only 40,000 active cases at any one point, that is less than one in a thousand.

Which means the chance of there being a COVID carrier in a National 1 crowd of 500 is about 40%.
The chance of there being one in a Championship crowd of 1000 is about 64%.

I think that if they were to require masks and impose a 1m distancing, for example with tape on the rail round the pitch to mark it: we could safely watch National league rugby - and the clubs would get a chance to sell us branded face masks. Which Bedford are already selling.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redted Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Jul 2020 at 13:10
They could but if there are only 40,000 active cases at any one point, that is less than one in a thousand.
Which means the chance of there being a COVID carrier in a National 1 crowd of 500 is about 40%.
The chance of there being one in a Championship crowd of 1000 is about 64%.
I think that if they were to require masks and impose a 1m distancing, for example with tape on the rail round the pitch to mark it: we could safely watch National league rugby - and the clubs would get a chance to sell us branded face masks. Which Bedford are already selling.

What's the saying about lies and statistics?
If less that 1 in 1000 have the disease then isn't there a 100% chance of somebody with Covid19 being in a crowd of 1000 people?  But the chance of being next to them is 0.01% (or something like that).  Probably shows but I'm not a statistician! 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Pappashanga Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Jul 2020 at 13:31
It only takes one...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Raider999 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Jul 2020 at 15:48
Originally posted by Camquin Camquin wrote:

They could but if there are only 40,000 active cases at any one point, that is less than one in a thousand.

Which means the chance of there being a COVID carrier in a National 1 crowd of 500 is about 40%.
The chance of there being one in a Championship crowd of 1000 is about 64%.

I think that if they were to require masks and impose a 1m distancing, for example with tape on the rail round the pitch to mark it: we could safely watch National league rugby - and the clubs would get a chance to sell us branded face masks. Which Bedford are already selling.


However, until everyone is tested on a regular basis (67m per week/month) the figures you quote are meaningless.

You can have covid without any or only minor symptoms. As only 100k tests are done a day the chances are a lot more people have the virus at any one time.

Edited by Raider999 - 06 Jul 2020 at 15:49
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Gopher72 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Jul 2020 at 06:44
Launceston Rugby Club hosted the army doing Covid-19 testing, approx 120 tested last week and will be resumed tomorrow 8th July.Unfortunately we do not know the results, except one, mine and clear.
A committee member posted an advert on facebook about the testing and was treated to a load of abuse that we were causing the spread of the virus and a bad advert for the club!
The army personnel said that they wished they could test the players but unfortunately could not come down to the resumed regulated training sessions. They had a feeling that prior resumption, all players would have to be tested.
The club also held a NHS Blood Donation session so we can't be doing everything wrong!


Edited by Gopher72 - 07 Jul 2020 at 07:29
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote workerbee Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Jul 2020 at 10:08
Interesting news today three pubs closed because a customer tested positive. All staff to be tested and the Pub has to be deep cleaned. So all the customers who went to those pubs will have to be contacted and self isolate. A simple answer to avoid going back into full lock down is to be sensible. People do not listen it has not gone away so everyone needs to keep their distance , which was clearly not the case over the weekend. It is your choice, whilst the young make get a mild dose they will pass it onto older relatives who will will be in greater danger. Be sensible and wait a few more weeks. We are getting closer to producing a vaccine and life will go on.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote 'Hopper Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Jul 2020 at 10:34
Originally posted by workerbee workerbee wrote:

Interesting news today three pubs closed because a customer tested positive. All staff to be tested and the Pub has to be deep cleaned. So all the customers who went to those pubs will have to be contacted and self isolate.
I doubt that those who are told to self isolate will in fact do so.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Raider999 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Jul 2020 at 11:43
Originally posted by workerbee workerbee wrote:

Interesting news today three pubs closed because a customer tested positive. All staff to be tested and the Pub has to be deep cleaned. So all the customers who went to those pubs will have to be contacted and self isolate. A simple answer to avoid going back into full lock down is to be sensible. People do not listen it has not gone away so everyone needs to keep their distance , which was clearly not the case over the weekend. It is your choice, whilst the young make get a mild dose they will pass it onto older relatives who will will be in greater danger. Be sensible and wait a few more weeks. We are getting closer to producing a vaccine and life will go on.


Having seen pictures, reportedly from pubs that have closed, I observe

1) customers seemed to all be in 20s or 30s
2) absolutely no social distancing
3) rules re sitting at tables inside not being observed

Whilst understanding younger people's frustrations from the past 10-11 weeks, I fear we will be heading back to all pubs being closed before long.
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